Looking Back at Who Was Right About This Weird Election

Citing data showing how mentions of “MAGA” in various news outlets skyrocketed as Democrats began using the acronym widely, they said the election “became a choice between President Biden and Democrats who are focused on moving the country forward and MAGA extremists who would strip away people’s fundamental rights and freedoms.”

Senator Tim Kaine, Democrat of Virginia, said that the conventional wisdom before Election Day missed two important trends among voters. First, he said, “a lot of people who said the economy was the top issue voted for Democrats.” And second, he said, “people were really worried about democracy,” even if they did not list it as their No. 1 concern in polls.

In the real world, Kaine said, voters might be concerned about a number of things all at once, and “they combine sometimes into meta-issues.”

Many Democrats were not so confident ahead of time; Senator Chris Coons of Delaware confessed to feeling a sense of “disquiet” going into Election Day and thought the polls could mean a loss of three to four Senate seats. Trump was “a huge drag” on Republican candidates across the country, he said.

“I think this is another time when polling led the pack story astray,” Podhorzer said. “I’ve hardly read all the coverage, but while it is certainly true that survey-takers picked inflation and don’t like Biden much, they were also not so keen on MAGA Republicans in a way that the polls seem to have missed.”

Four of the Republican flips came in New York, a state controlled by Democrats. And Republicans made Democrats work hard to keep many other East Coast seats, including in Connecticut, Maine, Maryland, Pennsylvania and Rhode Island. It’s a little too early to tell what’s going on in California, but the Democrats’ blue-state blues seem to have also hit other Western states, such as Oregon — where the party only narrowly held the governor’s mansion.

Democratic governors in swing states mostly fended off their Republican challengers (with the possible exception of Nevada, which remains too close to call). Meanwhile, in red states like Florida, Ohio and Texas, Republican governors won big. Just look at how Ron DeSantis moved every county in his direction, including Miami-Dade and Palm Beach, on the way to a nearly 20-point rout of Representative Charlie Crist.

Sumber: www.nytimes.com

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