Trump has filed the official paperwork to run for president in 2024.

Former President Donald J. Trump is expected to announce a 2024 presidential bid on Tuesday, his third campaign for the office, shortly after he filed the official paperwork to do so. A growing number of Republicans, however, see him as a political liability given the party’s showing in the midterm elections.

Senator Lindsey Graham, Republican of South Carolina, told reporters on Capitol Hill that he did not think Mr. Trump should make the announcement so soon, saying, “I just think we need to get 2022 over before we talk about 2024.” Mr. Graham added: “I think he has a decent chance of coming back, maybe a good chance, depending on how the country unfolds in the next year. But I prefer to get Georgia behind us before we make those decisions.”

Republicans are on the cusp of claiming control of the House of Representatives for the 118th Congress when it convenes next year. After notching victories late Monday night in a handful of congressional races in Arizona, New York and California, the party is within one seat of taking the House.

After rosy predictions for a Republican wave, the party’s majority in the House will be much smaller than its leaders had anticipated. Congress will be divided next year, after Democrats held control of the Senate. Attention is now focused on a few districts in California and Colorado where the Republican candidate is leading in the vote count. A race call in any of these districts on Tuesday would almost certainly give Republicans the 218 seats needed to retake a House majority.

Here are some other developments:

  • Representative Kevin McCarthy of California resoundingly won the Republican nomination for speaker in a closed-door vote at the Capitol, 188 to 31. But the defectors, who voted for Representative Andy Biggs of Arizona, a protest candidate put up by the Freedom Caucus, showed that his quest to win over the hard-right flank of the party was far from over. Assuming that his party takes control of the chamber, he will need to win 218 votes on the House floor in January to earn the speaker’s gavel.

  • Senator Rick Scott of Florida, who oversaw the Senate Republican campaign arm, said he would challenge Senator Mitch McConnell of Kentucky for minority leader. McConnell, however, is widely expected to retain support from the majority of his conference — particularly since some Republicans are frustrated with how Mr. Scott handled the campaign arm in a midterm election that left them with another term in the minority.

Reporting was contributed by Catie Edmondson, Emily Cochrane, Jazmine Ulloa, Nate Cohn, Maggie Astor, Annie Karni and Maggie Haberman.


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